Polls from Survation
Survation has been polling since 2011 and has published 241 polls so far; the latest was on 5 October 2026.
Parties
| Pollster | Share (%) | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Lab | 30.0% | 2026-10-05 |
| Reform | 24.0% | 2026-10-05 |
| Con | 19.0% | 2026-10-05 |
| LD | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 |
| Green | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 |
| SNP | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 |
| PC | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 |
Coalitions
No polls available yet.
Accuracy at past elections
Average error 1.3 percentage points across 4 elections.
Systematic over- and understatement, per party
Mean signed difference between this pollster’s final poll and the result. A positive figure means the party was stated higher than it finished.
| Party | Mean difference | Elections |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | -1.9 percentage points | 4 |
| Reform UK | +1.7 percentage points | 2 |
| UK Independence Party | -0.9 percentage points | 2 |
| Labour Party | +0.7 percentage points | 4 |
| Green Party | +0.5 percentage points | 4 |
| Liberal Democrats | -0.2 percentage points | 4 |
Per election
| Election | Final poll | Days before | Parties scored | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 general election | 2024-07-01 | 3 | 5 | 2.1 percentage points |
| 2019 general election | 2019-12-10 | 2 | 5 | 1.0 percentage points |
| 2017 general election | 2017-06-06 | 2 | 5 | 0.8 percentage points |
| 2015 general election | 2015-05-06 | 1 | 5 | 1.2 percentage points |
How this is measured: for each past election we take each pollster’s last poll in the 30 days before polling day and compare it, party by party, with the result. The figure is the mean absolute difference across the parties that appear in both. Only parties the pollster actually reported are counted. A late shift in opinion is not the same thing as a polling error.
Latest updates
- allpolls.bsky.social #Poll Survation (vs previous poll): UP ⬆️ 1.0 points: Lab 30.0%,Reform 24.0%,PC 2.0% DOWN ⬇️ 1.0 points: Green 8.0%,SNP 2.0% UNCHANGED ➡️ Con 19.0%,LD 9.0% https://www.allpolls.co.uk/pollster/survation?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=uk&utm_content=uk-381 view post
- allpolls.bsky.social #Poll Survation (vs previous poll): UP ⬆️ 2.0 points: Lab 29.0%,Green 9.0% DOWN ⬇️ 2.0 points: Con 19.0%,LD 9.0% ⬇️ 1.0 points: Reform 23.0% UNCHANGED ➡️ SNP 3.0%,PC 1.0% https://www.allpolls.co.uk/pollster/survation?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=uk&utm_content=uk-347 view post
- allpolls.bsky.social #Poll Survation (vs previous poll): UP ⬆️ 1.0 points: Reform 24.0%,LD 11.0%,SNP 3.0% DOWN ⬇️ 1.0 points: Lab 27.0%,Green 7.0%,PC 1.0% UNCHANGED ➡️ Con 21.0% https://www.allpolls.co.uk/pollster/survation?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=uk&utm_content=uk-319 view post
- allpolls.bsky.social #Poll Survation (vs previous poll): UP ⬆️ 2.0 points: Con 21.0% ⬆️ 1.0 points: Lab 28.0%,LD 10.0%,PC 2.0% DOWN ⬇️ 2.0 points: Green 8.0% ⬇️ 1.0 points: Reform 23.0% UNCHANGED ➡️ SNP 2.0% https://www.allpolls.co.uk view post
- allpolls.bsky.social #Poll Survation (vs previous poll): UP ⬆️ 1.0 points: Lab 27.0%,Con 19.0% DOWN ⬇️ 2.0 points: Reform 24.0% ⬇️ 1.0 points: LD 9.0%,SNP 2.0% UNCHANGED ➡️ Green 10.0%,PC 1.0% https://www.allpolls.co.uk view post