2017 general election

Held on 2017-06-08. The result below is the official outcome; underneath it, where we hold the polls, is how close each pollster’s final poll came.

Result

Party	Share (%)
Conservative Party	43.4%
Labour Party	41.0%
Liberal Democrats	7.6%
UK Independence Party	1.9%
Green Party	1.7%

How the final polls compared

Each pollster’s last poll in the 30 days before this election, and how far it was from the result. Only parties the pollster reported are counted.

Pollster

Final poll

Days before

Parties scored

Difference

Survation

2017-06-06

0.8 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Conservative Party	41.0%	43.4%	-2.4 percentage points
Labour Party	40.0%	41.0%	-1.0 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	8.0%	7.6%	+0.4 percentage points
Green Party	2.0%	1.7%	+0.3 percentage points
UK Independence Party	2.0%	1.9%	+0.1 percentage points

Verian

2017-06-01

1.3 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Labour Party	38.0%	41.0%	-3.0 percentage points
UK Independence Party	4.0%	1.9%	+2.1 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	7.0%	7.6%	-0.6 percentage points
Conservative Party	43.0%	43.4%	-0.4 percentage points
Green Party	2.0%	1.7%	+0.3 percentage points

Qriously

2017-06-04

1.5 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Conservative Party	39.0%	43.4%	-4.4 percentage points
UK Independence Party	4.0%	1.9%	+2.1 percentage points
Green Party	1.0%	1.7%	-0.7 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	8.0%	7.6%	+0.4 percentage points
Labour Party	41.0%	41.0%	0.0 percentage points

SurveyMonkey

2017-06-04

1.7 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Labour Party	38.0%	41.0%	-3.0 percentage points
UK Independence Party	4.0%	1.9%	+2.1 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	6.0%	7.6%	-1.6 percentage points
Conservative Party	42.0%	43.4%	-1.4 percentage points
Green Party	2.0%	1.7%	+0.3 percentage points

Ipsos MORI

2017-06-06

1.7 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Labour Party	36.0%	41.0%	-5.0 percentage points
UK Independence Party	4.0%	1.9%	+2.1 percentage points
Conservative Party	44.0%	43.4%	+0.6 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	7.0%	7.6%	-0.6 percentage points
Green Party	2.0%	1.7%	+0.3 percentage points

Opinium

2017-06-04

1.8 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Labour Party	36.0%	41.0%	-5.0 percentage points
UK Independence Party	5.0%	1.9%	+3.1 percentage points
Conservative Party	43.0%	43.4%	-0.4 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	8.0%	7.6%	+0.4 percentage points
Green Party	2.0%	1.7%	+0.3 percentage points

Panelbase

2017-06-02

1.9 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Labour Party	36.0%	41.0%	-5.0 percentage points
UK Independence Party	5.0%	1.9%	+3.1 percentage points
Conservative Party	44.0%	43.4%	+0.6 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	7.0%	7.6%	-0.6 percentage points
Green Party	2.0%	1.7%	+0.3 percentage points

ORB

2017-05-31

2.3 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Labour Party	36.0%	41.0%	-5.0 percentage points
UK Independence Party	4.0%	1.9%	+2.1 percentage points
Conservative Party	45.0%	43.4%	+1.6 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	8.0%	7.6%	+0.4 percentage points

ComRes

2017-06-05

2.5 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Labour Party	34.0%	41.0%	-7.0 percentage points
UK Independence Party	5.0%	1.9%	+3.1 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	9.0%	7.6%	+1.4 percentage points
Conservative Party	44.0%	43.4%	+0.6 percentage points
Green Party	2.0%	1.7%	+0.3 percentage points

YouGov

2017-06-05

2.6 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Labour Party	35.0%	41.0%	-6.0 percentage points
UK Independence Party	5.0%	1.9%	+3.1 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	10.0%	7.6%	+2.4 percentage points
Conservative Party	42.0%	43.4%	-1.4 percentage points
Green Party	2.0%	1.7%	+0.3 percentage points

ICM

2017-06-06

2.7 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Labour Party	34.0%	41.0%	-7.0 percentage points
UK Independence Party	5.0%	1.9%	+3.1 percentage points
Conservative Party	46.0%	43.4%	+2.6 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	7.0%	7.6%	-0.6 percentage points
Green Party	2.0%	1.7%	+0.3 percentage points

BMG

2017-06-06

3.1 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Labour Party	33.0%	41.0%	-8.0 percentage points
UK Independence Party	5.0%	1.9%	+3.1 percentage points
Conservative Party	46.0%	43.4%	+2.6 percentage points
Green Party	3.0%	1.7%	+1.3 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	8.0%	7.6%	+0.4 percentage points

Norstat

2017-05-31

3.2 percentage points

Party	Poll	Result	Difference
Labour Party	35.0%	41.0%	-6.0 percentage points
Conservative Party	39.0%	43.4%	-4.4 percentage points
UK Independence Party	6.0%	1.9%	+4.1 percentage points
Green Party	3.0%	1.7%	+1.3 percentage points
Liberal Democrats	8.0%	7.6%	+0.4 percentage points

How this is measured: for each past election we take each pollster’s last poll in the 30 days before polling day and compare it, party by party, with the result. The figure is the mean absolute difference across the parties that appear in both. Only parties the pollster actually reported are counted. A late shift in opinion is not the same thing as a polling error.